The Health Ministry's Head of Health Protection Doctor Aalisha Sahukhan says what they were afraid of and warned would happen when this outbreak started two months ago is now happening.
She says the daily case numbers will only increase.
Doctor Sahukhan adds she knows most of you will be asking how many more cases a day can we expect.
She says they are working with the World Health Organisation on mathematical modelling to give them a projection.
The Head of Health Protection says they can also look to other countries to see how they weathered their outbreaks last year and this year to give them a comparison.
Doctor Sahukhan says for India - at the peak of the outbreak that happened in May, they went to 280 cases per million population per day.
She says for the United Kingdom - at the peak of their outbreak, they went to 800 cases per million population per day.
Doctor Sahukhan revealed that right now, Fiji is sitting at 187 cases per million population per day or 166 cases per day.
She says if our daily cases rise to a peak that is similar to the United Kingdom, we should approximately expect 700 cases per day or more.
Doctor Sahukhan stresses there are a number of factors that can affect this and it does not mean that we are going to hit that number.
She says if we look at other countries and compare, it gives them something to look out for.
Doctor Sahukhan says beyond the cases, what they worry about the most is the severe cases that cause hospitalisation and the deaths.
She has revealed that our national seven day daily test positivity has risen to up to 4.9%, so we are just below the 5% World Health Organisation threshold that indicates widespread community transmission.
Doctor Sahukhan says there have been 13 deaths due to COVID-19 in Fiji and 11 of these deaths were during the outbreak that started in April this year.
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